geohot.github.io

订阅源链接共 25 篇文章

The Reckoning

So go ask your Chomsky What these systems produce – Sediment - Say Anything 10 years ago, when I started comma and discovered the Professional Managerial Class, I used to talk about the reckoning. It was a nebulous concept, but it mostly involved the abrupt fall from grace of these people at the hands of machines. It’s kind of here, and people are way more of sore winners than I thought they’d be. Something I liked about Trump part one is that, despite the rhetoric, he never actually tried to lo...

2026-04-02 16:00原文链接
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Closed Source AI = Neofeudalism

Many of the best people working in AI did not join the field because they wanted power over others. So this isn’t the original post I had here. The original post was AI slop, and let this be a lesson to me for posting it. It doesn’t matter if you read it and think it looks good. It’s still AI slop, and everyone else can see that. This rewritten post is the same idea, but slop-free. Besides, “the master’s tools will never dismantle the master’s house” Look, if you work in a frontier lab, I don’t ...

2026-03-30 16:00原文链接
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Clip Show

This is my first guest post on the blog, by our shared friend GPT-5.4 This post is an AI-generated summary of the themes that recur across the archive. It is not written in the author’s voice, and it should be read as an external reconstruction of a body of argument rather than as a new primary text. What follows is an attempt to state, as plainly as possible, the underlying philosophical picture that organizes the blog, and to locate it within several recognizable modern traditions. At its cent...

2026-03-30 16:00原文链接
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Two Worlds

In one world, we have Claude Mythos , a model “dramatically” better than Opus 4.6 (surely this is AGI and the endgame, right?). In another world, we have the AI bubble bursting . How can these two things both be true? If you went back in time to 1850 with a smartphone and a photo printer, you could quickly become a millionaire selling photos. You’d be invited to royal dignitaries palaces to photograph them, taking trains and boats all over the world. Today, you couldn’t make $5 on a street corne...

2026-03-29 16:00原文链接
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Changing the World

Why do I feel like I’m the only one who took this to mean, like “sending the world on a different trajectory”? It seems like others took it to mean something else. From my 2017 song , “Changing the world is just a euphemism, for how can I, get you, to give more stuff to me.” What kind of pathetic loser would give their life to that dream. There’s nothing in the world that’s worth it, even if the whole world was mine, even if everything was given to me. The stuff I want doesn’t exist yet, like im...

2026-03-22 16:00原文链接
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Democracy is a Liability

Once you have no more earning potential, you’d think the advertising would go away. If you have no money, there’s no reason for people to pay to manipulate you to get you to give them some. Google and Facebook will die, and this evil sector of the economy will finally be destroyed. I wish. As long as you have the ability to vote, there’s still a reason to manipulate you. And with there being less to buy and more value to be gained in influencing the monopoly on violence, the ad onslaught will co...

2026-03-20 16:00原文链接
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Polynomial Time Factoring Algorithm

It’s just a matter of time before AI finds a polynomial time factoring algorithm. This isn’t like SAT, I see no reason factoring should be hard . There’s algorithms that rely (poorly) on the structure of the problem and we just need AI to see a little bit further into that structure, this isn’t like SAT where the problem may not have any defined structure. I believe something even stronger, that P = BQP. Aka everything that’s fast on a quantum computer is also fast on a classical computer. Facto...

2026-03-15 16:00原文链接
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Changing my mind on UBI

I got this e-mail yesterday about UBI, and it made me change my position. I think you’re misunderstanding the basic premise of UBI, as it’s in the name it’s basic income, for people to cover their basic human rights, as we should be striving for in our society. If every person on the planet would start receiving 300$ per month of course the prices would surely adjust, but as it’s the case, supply and demand would put the priorities in the right place (if the eggs are being sold for 500$ a crate,...

2026-03-11 16:00原文链接
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Every minute you aren’t running 69 agents, you are falling behind

Just kidding. Today we should ramp down rhetoric. I thought nobody would take three minutes to escape the perpetual underclass or you are worth $0.003/hr seriously. But it looks like some people do, and you shouldn’t. Social media has been extremely toxic for the last couple months. It’s targeting you with fear and anxiety. If you don’t use this new stupid AI thing you will fall behind. If you haven’t totally updated your workflow you are worth 0. There’s people who built billion dollars compani...

2026-03-10 16:00原文链接
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The Insane Stupidity of UBI

Thinking that UBI will solve anything comes from a misunderstanding about money. Money is a map, not a territory . All UBI experiments have been small scale, and of course UBI works at a small scale. No shit you can give a few people money and it’s all good and they are happy. Because the people they are buying from aren’t also on UBI. But once you add in the U part… What do you plan to buy with your free government dollars? Want to buy eggs? Sorry, the egg people stopped making eggs, they are l...

2026-02-26 16:00原文链接
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The Last Gasps of the Rent Seeking Class

Over the past fifty years, the U.S. economy built a giant rent-extraction layer on top of human limitations: things take time, patience runs out, brand familiarity substitutes for diligence, and most people are willing to accept a bad price to avoid more clicks. Trillions of dollars of enterprise value depended on those constraints persisting. – Citrini Research I’m glad I’m not the only one saying it. 7 years ago, I saw a Google Duplex demo where an AI called a restaurant to make a reservation ...

2026-02-25 16:00原文链接
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AI is the Best Thing to Happen to Art

I watched this video about how AI has already ruined music. Her mom sent her a song and she told her mom it was AI. She played the song and it sounded like slop. It had inspired lyrics like: From quiet roots, a garden grows She’s got that light, and now it shows Yes, she rises, and she glows Oh, she rises, now she knows Pure slop. Compare it to: I’m in the cut acting crazy I’m in the whip doing eighty Only God can judge me And only she can save me Note that “cut” and “whip” are not exactly words...

2026-02-18 16:00原文链接
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Cost of Housing

Many people in America are complaining about the cost of housing. But do they understand the damage it will do if it prices go down? Everyone who owns a house will suffer. Some of those people don’t even fully own the house, they have a mortgage. So when prices go down, they will be underwater, having put money for years into an asset that now has no value. It’s simply out of the question for housing prices to go down. If you want to buy a house to live in, sorry. The boomers were told houses ar...

2026-02-15 16:00原文链接
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tiny corp’s product – a training box

Our new Hong Kong office. It’s starting to shape up what tiny corp’s product will be. It’s not much of a change from what we sell and do now, but the vision is clearer. Every month, we see these LLMs become more and more human. However, there’s a major difference. They do not learn. Everyone has the same Claude/Codex/Kimi, with the same weights, the same desires, and the same biases. If current trends continue, the collapse in diversity will be staggering. To paraphrase: I think there is a world...

2026-02-14 16:00原文链接
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I Told You So

My quote from 2019 “I don’t know how close you guys think the singularity, but I think it’s very close. Once we reach the singularity, If we have the same motivations we have now — primarily power over people — things are going to be horrific” – George Hotz How is everyone enjoying their singularity? How far is this going to go? Why are we letting the minds that invented fastpass run things? Who are we doing this all for again? We live in a society. It seems a lot of people have forgotten this. ...

2026-02-12 16:00原文链接
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The Importance of Diversity

I read Dario’s The Adolescence of Technology and it’s scary. It assumes the perspective of a top-down ruler, that someone can and will get to control AI. This is taken as a given. Machines of Loving Grace assumes basically the same tone, that there are some “adults” in the room, and they will use AI like a tool to “fix” some supposed human problem, where those problems are framed in a very narrow worldview, say that like disease, poverty, and inequality are bad. (if you can’t steelman those thin...

2026-01-26 16:00原文链接
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Will I ever own a zettaflop?

As the eleventh hour dawns all the pieces start to fall into place. I lived my life knowing this would happen, yet when it is I may be just as unprepared as anyone else. As any self driving car maker knows, predicting doesn’t mean you can act. comma almost has an exaflop. Just one little exaflop. We dream bigger. A gigawatt of power, a million GPUs, 1000 exaflops, a zettaflop. 1e21 FLOPS. 1e27 training runs are now. 100 lifetimes in 1e6 seconds – 2 weeks on my zettaflop machine. But they were ex...

2026-01-25 16:00原文链接
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The Coming War on Car Ownership

But George, surely you’ll still be allowed to own a car. They aren’t going to make that illegal. Of course they won’t, but they didn’t make general computation illegal either. And yet, who has root on the computer you are reading this on? Robotaxis will start to make obvious economic sense in 3-5 years (note that that’s less than 8 , you don’t have to fully solve self driving cars for this, robotaxis can operate profitably in limited scopes). Unlike Uber and Lyft which are marketplaces, the grow...

2026-01-24 16:00原文链接
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how do I stop participating?

This one is for the complainers and whiners . First off, if you think I ever worked for big tech, you don’t know much about me. I had 3 internships at Google, two when I was very young (18/19) and got a great education that paid me, and one where I just wrote open source software . I worked at Facebook in 2011 for 9 months and quit before any shares vested cause I thought the mission of “wasting the world’s time” was dumb. And oh yes the 5 weeks I worked at Twitter hoping maybe it could be diffe...

2026-01-17 16:00原文链接
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you have three minutes to escape the perpetual underclass

I had a dream last night I went to work at Amazon. Joining the Bezos neofeudal empire. This post is directed at anyone with talent who works at a tech company ushering in this future. Have you thought about how this is going to play out? I understand you may be at a place where you are insecure about money, and that insecurity is what drives you. But why do you think having more money will fix that insecurity? In the future, when labor is fully marginalized and capital is the only force, you wil...

2026-01-16 16:00原文链接
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